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纺织产销两旺 棉价创年度新高 ——中国棉花形势月报(2020年12月)

出处:火狐体育官方网站    2021年01月26日

2020NIAN,GUONEIMIANHUASHICHANGSHOUDAOXINGUANYIQINGCHONGJI,MIANHUASHENGCHANBAOCHIWENDING,CHUBEIMIANLUNHUANYOUXUJINXING,JINKOULIANGJIXUZENGJIA,SHICHANGGONGJICHONGYU,FANGZHIXUQIUZHUJIANHUINUAN,MIANHUAJIAGEBODONGSHANGZHANG,NEIWAIMIANJIACHAJIADA。JUTONGJIJUSHUJUXIANSHI,2020NIANQUANGUOMIANHUAZONGCHANLIANG591WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG0.4%。FANGZHIQIYENIANMOCHANXIAOLIANGWANG,SHABUCHANLIANGCHENGSHANGSHENGQUSHI,FANGZHIPINFUZHUANGCHUKOUZAIFANGYIWUZIDEDAIDONGXIA,QUANNIANZONGJINETONGBIZENGZHANG9.58%,XINGYEQUSHIXIANGHAO。

12YUE,QUANGUOCAISHOUJIBENJIESHU,SHOUGOUJIAGONGLIANGJUNCHAOQUNIAN,XINMIANDALIANGSHANGSHI,FANGZHIDINGDANZENGJIA,MIANHUAXUQIUHUIFU,MIANJIACHUANGNIANDUXINGAO,SHANGYEKUCUNDANIANDUNEIFENGZHI。YOUYUNEIWAIMIANJIACHAGAOYU800YUAN/DUN,CHUBEIMIANLUNRUZANWEIQIDONG。12YUE,HUOHUTIYUGUANFANGWANGZHANDUI2021NIANQUANGUOMIANHUAZHIMIANYIXIANGJINXINGLEDIAOCHA。JIEGUOXIANSHI,QUANGUOZHIMIANMIANJIWEI4483.6WANMU,TONGBIJIANSHAO2.17%。

一、新棉交售进度略慢于去年同期

QUANGUOMIANHUACAIZHAIQUANBUJIESHU,JIAOSHOUJINDULVEMANYUQUNIAN。QIZHONG,XINJIANGJIAOSHOUYIJIESHU,NEIDIRENGYOUBUFENCUNMIANWEICHUSHOU,JIEZHI12YUEDIQUANGUOMIANHUAJIAOSHOUJINDUWEI98.2%,TONGBIXIAJIANG0.35GEBAIFENDIAN,HUANBIZENGJIA2.78GEBAIFENDIAN。PINGJUNJIAOSHOUJIAGEWEI6.52YUAN/GONGJIN,TONGBISHANGZHANG19.63%,HUANBIXIADIE0.15%。

二、加工量同比增长 质量指标下降

12YUE,XINJIANGMIANJIAGONGJINRUWEISHENG,NEIDIZIMIANSHOUGOU、JIAGONGRENGZAIJIXU,XINMIANZHILIANGZHIBIAODIYUQUNIAN。JIEZHI12YUE31RI,QUANGUO400XINGMIANHUAJIAGONGQIYE3128JIZIMIANPINGJUNSHOUGOUJIAGEWEI6.58YUAN/GONGJIN,TONGBISHANGZHANG16.46%,HUANBIXIADIE1.64%。JIAGONGLIANG504.72WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG5.16%,HUANBIZENGJIA129.6WANDUN。

JUGONGJIANSHUJUXIANSHI,XINMIANGEXIANGZHILIANGZHIBIAODIYUQUNIAN。JIEZHI12YUE31RI,QUANGUOMIANHUAJIANYANLIANG474.08WANDUN,TONGBIZENGJIA4.14%;BAIMIAN3JIJIYISHANGZHANBI84.5%,TONGBIXIAJIANG0.1GEBAIFENDIAN;XIANWEIZHANGDU28HAOMIJIYISHANGZHANBI79.12%,TONGBIXIAJIANG13.85GEBAIFENDIAN;MAKELONGZHIA+B(3.5~4.9)DANGZHANBI67.06%,TONGBIXIAJIANG15.89GEBAIFENDIAN;DUANLIEBIQIANGDUS2(29.0~30.9)JIYISHANGDANGZHANBI22.14%,TONGBIDI15.59GEBAIFENDIAN。

三、国内棉价延续性上涨,创年度新高

12YUE,GUONEIFANGZHISHICHANGZHUANHAO,CHUNXIADINGDANZENGJIA,QIYEYUANLIAOCAIGOUREQINGSHENGWEN,ZHUTUIGUONEIMIANJIAYANXUXINGSHANGZHANG;GUOJIMIANJIAZHENDANGSHANGZHANG,ZHANGFUDIYUGUONEI。12YUEMO,ZHONGGUOMIANHUAJIAGEZHISHU(CCIndex3128B)14963YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOSHANGZHANG312YUAN,TONGBISHANGZHANG1594YUAN;YUEJUNJIAWEI14793YUAN/DUN,HUANBISHANGZHANG260YUAN,TONGBISHANGZHANG1639YUAN。ZHONGGUOJINKOUMIANJIAGEZHISHUFC Index MYUEJUNWEI83.12MEIFEN/BANG,HUANBIZHANG3.81MEIFEN,TONGBISHANGZHANG6.17MEIFEN。YUEMOWEI86.02MEIFEN/BANG,GAOYUQIANYIYUEMO4.26MEIFEN/BANG,TONGBISHANGZHANG6.55MEIFEN,1%GUANSHUIXIAZHERENMINBI13894YUAN/DUN,DIYUTONGQIGUONEIXIANHUO1044YUAN/DUN,NEIWAIMIANJIACHAJIAOSHANGYUEMOSUOXIAO155YUAN。

四、商业库存总量达年度峰值

12YUE,XINMIANDALIANGSHANGSHI,GUONEISHANGYEKUCUNCHIXUZENGJIA,BINGDADAONIANDUNEIFENGZHI。12YUEDI,QUANGUOMIANHUASHANGYEKUCUNZONGLIANGYUE529.27WANDUN,HUANBIZENGZHANG15.8%,TONGBIZENGZHANG2.05%。XINJIANGMIANFAYUNLIANGHUANBIJIXUZENGJIA,DANGYUEXINJIANGMIANHUAZHUANYECANGCHUKUCHUJIANGFAYUNLIANGWEI48.31WANDUN,HUANBIZENGJIA16.15WANDUN,GAOYUQUNIANTONGQI3.08WANDUN。

五、纺织企业产销两旺

FANGZHISHICHANGDINGDANZENGJIA,QIYEZOUHUOSHUNCHANG,FANGSHACHANGKAIGONGLVWEICHIGAOWEI,MIANHUAXUQIUZENGJIA。12YUE,SHAXIANCHANLIANGHUANBIZENGZHANG1.3%,TONGBIZENGZHANG0.8%;BUCHANLIANGHUANBIZENGZHANG1.5%,TONGBIZENGZHANG0.9%。MIANHUAJIAGESUIRANSHANGZHANG,DANQIYEXUQIUZENGJIA,YUEDIFANGZHIQIYEMIANHUAGONGYEKUCUNLIANGWEI80.23WANDUN,JIAOSHANGYUEDIZENGJIA7.46WANDUN,TONGBIZENGJIA6.98WANDUN。

HAIGUANSHUJUXIANSHI:12YUEWOGUOFANGZHIFUZHUANGCHUKOU262YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG5%;2020NIANWOGUOFANGZHIFUZHUANGLEIJICHUKOU2912.2YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG9.5%,QIZHONGFANGZHIPINCHUKOU1538.4YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG29.2%,FUZHUANGCHUKOU1373.8YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG6.4%。

六、内外棉价差较高 储备棉轮入仍未启动

GENJU《2020NIANDUXINJIANGMIANLUNRUJINGJIAJIAOYIBANFA》GUIDING,2020 NIAN12YUE1RIDAO2021NIAN3YUE31RIQIJIAN,NEIWAIMIANJIACHADIYU800YUAN/DUNZEQIDONGLUNRU,DANBENYUENEIWAIMIANJIACHAZAI1400-2100YUAN/DUNZHIJIAN,CHUBEIMIANLUNRURENGWEIQIDONG。

七、2021年全国植棉意向下降2.17%

12YUE,HUOHUTIYUGUANFANGWANGZHANJINXINGLESHOUCI2021NIANZHIMIANYIXIANGDIAOCHA,DIAOCHAJIEGUOXIANSHI:QUANGUOZHIMIANYIXIANGMIANJIWEI4483.6WANMU,TONGBIXIAJIANG2.17%,QIZHONGXINJIANGMIANNONGZHIMIANYIXIANGXIAJIANG0.85%,HUANGHELIUYUHEZHANGJIANGLIUYUYIXIANGFENBIEXIAJIANG7.12%HE6%。YIXIANGXIAJIANGDEZHUYAOYUANYINSHIGEMIANQU2020NIANDEMIANHUABUTIESHANGWEILUOSHIJILAINIANBUTIEZHENGCEBUMINGLANG,DAOZHIMIANNONGZHIMIANJIJIXINGBUGAO。NEIDI2020NIANMIANHUAJIANCHANFUDUJIAODA,TEBIESHIZHANGJIANGLIUYU,MIANHUASHOUZAIJIAOZHONG,ZONGTISHOUYIBUGAO,JINSANCHENGDEJIANCEHUZHIMIANYIXIANGBUMING,RENGZAIPAIHUAIGUANWANG。

 ZHONGGUOMIANHUAGONGQIUPINGHENGBIAO(2021NIAN1YUE)

                                  DANWEI:WANDUN


年度

期初库存

产量

进口

消费

出口

期末库存

2020/21

790.52

592.37

198

799

3

778.89

2019/20

807.51

590.57

160

765

2.56

790.52

2018/19

802.6

611

205

807

4.1

807.51

 



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