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纺织需求旺盛 棉价延续上涨——中国棉花价格指数(CC Index)月度报告(2021年1月)

出处:火狐体育官方网站    2021年02月08日

项目承担:北京棉花展望信息咨询有限责任公司

监测对象:18个主要棉花生产、消费省的100家棉纺织企业

1YUE,FANGZHIXINGYEXUQIUCHIXUWANGSHENG,CHENGPINXIAOSHOUSHUNCHANG,FANGZHIQIYEDUIMIANHUAYUANLIAOCAIGOUBUKUREQINGJIAOGAO,GUONEIMIANHUAJIAGEYANXUSHANGZHANG,DANZHANGFUJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOSHOUZHAI,CHENGPINSHAXIANYIJIZHANJIAOHEHUAXIANDENGCHANPINJIAGEYEJUNYOUBUTONGCHENGDUSHANGZHANG。TONGQI,GUOJIMIANJIAZHENDANGSHANGZHANG,QIJIANSHOUDAOMEIGUOJINZHIJINKOUXINJIANGMIANXIAOXIDEYINGXIANG,ZHANGFUDIYUGUONEI,YUEMONEIWAIMIANXIANHUOJIACHAXIAOFUKUODA。

一、国内外现货价格变化情况

1、国内现货价格保持上涨                      

1YUE,CHUNJIEQIANZUIHOUYIGEYUE,GUONEIXINMIANSHOUGOUYIJIJIAGONGGONGZUOCHIXUJINXING,SHICHANGMIANHUAZIYUANLIANGCHONGYU。FANGZHIXINGYEGOUXIAOJIAOWEIHUORE,XIAYOUDINGDANZENGJIA,DUIPIMIANXIANHUOJIJICAIGOU。YUENEI,GUONEIMIANHUAXIANHUOJIAGEJIXUSHANGZHANG,DANZHANGFUJIAOSHANGYUEJIANHUAN。YUEMO,ZHONGGUOMIANHUAJIAGEZHISHU(CCIndex3128B)WEI15243YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOSHANGZHANG280YUAN,TONGBISHANGZHANG1410YUAN;YUEJUNJIAWEI15277YUAN/DUN,HUANBISHANGZHANG484YUAN,TONGBISHANGZHANG1450YUAN。

图片.png

2、长绒棉价格上涨

1YUE,FANGZHIXINGYEDUIYUZHANGRONGMIANMIANXUQIUZHUANHAO,ZHANGRONGMIANXIAOSHOULIANGDAFUZENGJIA,JIAGESHANGZHANG。YUEMO137JICHENGJIAOJIA21500YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUESHANGZHANG200YUAN,GAOYUTONGQIZHONGGUOMIANHUAJIAGEZHISHU(CCIndex3128B)6257YUAN,JIACHAJIAOQIANYIYUEMOSUOXIAO90YUAN。

3、国际棉价震荡上行 

1YUEQUANQIUYIMIAOJIEZHONGCHIXUJINXING,GUOJIMIANHUAJIAGEYUECHUJIYUEZHONGZHENDANGSHANGXING,YUEMOXIAOFUHUILUO,ZHENGTIJIAOSHANGYUESHANGZHANG。ZHONGGUOJINKOUMIANJIAGEZHISHUFC Index MYUEJUNWEI88.6MEIFEN/BANG,HUANBIZHANG5.6MEIFEN。YUEMOWEI87.41MEIFEN/BANG,GAOYUQIANYIYUEMO1.39MEIFEN/BANG,1%GUANSHUIXIAZHERENMINBI14065YUAN/DUN,DIYUTONGQIGUONEIXIANHUO1178YUAN/DUN,NEIWAIMIANJIACHAJIAOSHANGYUEMOKUODA134YUAN。

 

图片.png

4、纺织行业下游持续好转,成品价格上涨

1YUE,FANGZHISHICHANGXIAYOUXUQIUCHIXUHAOZHUAN,DINGDANLIANGDAZENG,FANGZHICHENGPINXIAOSHOUJIALIANGQISHENG。JUTIKAN,CHUNMIANSHAKC32SHEJINGSHUJC40SYUEMOCHENGJIAOJIAWEI24080YUAN/DUNHE28580YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOFENBIESHANGZHANG380YUANHE1480YUAN;DILUNDUANXIANYUEMOWEI6150YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOSHANGZHANG300YUAN,ZHANJIAODUANXIANYUEMOWEI13500YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUESHANGZHANG2500YUAN。

二、影响国内外价格变化的要素分析

1、储备棉轮入仍未能启动

ANZHAOCHUBEIMIANLUNRUGONGGAO,2020 NIAN12YUE1HAODAO 2021NIAN3YUE31HAOQIJIAN,NEIWAIMIANJIACHADIYU800YUAN/DUNZEQIDONGLUNRU,DANBENBENYUENEIWAIMIANJIACHAZAIZUIDISHIDADAO1127YUAN/DUN,JIACHARENGGAOYU800YUAN/DUN,CHUBEIMIANLUNRURENGWEINENGQIDONG。

2、郑棉期货月末下行,注册仓单大幅增加

1YUE,ZHENGMIANQIHUOXIANZHANGHOUDIE,YUEMODIEPOWANWU,ZHULIHEYUECF105YUEMOJIESUANJIA14850YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMODE15085YUAN/DUNXIADIE235YUAN/DUN,DIEFU1.59%。YUEMOZHUCANGDAN16767ZHANG,ZHE67.07WANDUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOZENGJIA13.34WANDUN,DANDAFUDIYUQUNIANTONGQI。

3、出疆棉数量略有下降

2021NIAN1YUE,CHUJIANGMIANZONGJIFAYUN40.65WANDUN,HUANBIJIANSHAO7.66WANDUN。QIZHONG,GONGLUYINQUANGUODUODITUFAXINGUANFEIYANBINGLI,BUFENDIQUDAOLUGUANKONGBIJIAOYANGE,YUNJIALVEYOUSHANGZHANG。

4、纺织行业订单需求转好  

1YUEFENFANGZHIXINGYEYANXUXIANGHAO,FANGZHISHICHANGMIANSHAXINGQINGCHIXUHUOBAO,BUDANJIAGESHANGZHANG,ERQIEXIAOSHOUSHUNCHANG,CHUNJIEQIANXIAYOUDINGDANJUNYOUDAFUZENGJIA,QIYEZAICHUNJIEQIANDAFUZENGJIAYUANLIAOKUCUN,MIANHUAJIAGEYEBAOCHIXIANGSHANGQUSHI。

5、美国对新疆棉颁布禁令

1YUE14RI,MEIGUOHAIGUANHEBIANJINGBAOHUJUBIAOSHI,MEIGUOJIANGJINZHIJINKOULAIZIZHONGGUOXINJIANGDIQUDESUOYOUMIANHUAHEFANQIECHANPIN,GAIJINLINGSHIYONGYUYONGXINJIANGZHONGZHIDEMIANHUAZHICHENGDEMIANSHA、FUZHUANGHEFANGZHIPIN。


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