美国贸易逆差创新高意味着什么?
SHANGZHOUFABUDESHUJUXIANSHI,MEIGUO2020NIANMAOYINICHACHUANGXIA2008NIANGUOJIJINRONGWEIJIYILAIXINGAO。ZHEIBUJINYIWEIZHETELANGPUZHENGFUMAOYIZHENGCEDECHEDIPOCHAN,YETIXINGMEIGUOXINYIJIEZHENGFU,YONGJIAZHENGGUANSHUILAIJIEJUEMAOYIBUPINGHENG,ZHINENGSHISILUYITIAO。
MEIGUOSHANGWUBU2YUE5RIGONGBUSHUJUXIANSHI,2020NIANMEIGUOMAOYINICHADA6787YIMEIYUAN,JIAO2019NIANZENGJIA17.7%,CHUANG2008NIANYILAIXINGAO。MEIGUOSHANGWUBUHEMEIGUOMEITIRENWEI,MAOYINICHADEDAFUZENGZHANGSHIYINWEIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDAOZHIGEDICAIQUGUANTINGHEXIANZHICUOSHI,XUERUOLEQUANQIUDESHANGYEHEXIAOFEIZHEHUODONG。
BUGUO,MEIGUOXINZHENGFUSHOUCIGONGBUDEMAOYISHUJUJUYOUGENGSHENDEYIYUN:TELANGPUZHENGFUZAIGUOQU4NIANDUILAIZIQUANQIUDESHUQIANYIMEIYUANCHANPINJIAZHENGGUANSHUI,BINGWEIDUIMEIGUOMAOYINICHACHANSHENGYUQIZHONGDEZUOYONG。MEIGUOJUEMAOYICHIZIDECHANSHENGSHIQIJINGJIJIEGOUZUOYONGDEJIEGUO,BUNENGJIANDANGUIJIUYUJINGJIQUANQIUHUAHEZHUYAOMAOYIHUOBAN。
GUOQU4NIANZHONG,TELANGPUZHENGFUBAXIAOCHUMAOYINICHAZUOWEIQIZHONGYAOSHIZHENGMUBIAOZHIYI,XUANCHENGMAOYINICHAZUAILEJINGJIZENGZHANG,BINGDAOZHIMEIGUOXIANGDUIYUQITAGUOJIACHUYULIESHI。DANSHI,MEIGUOJUEMAOYINICHACHENGYINFUZA,YUMEIGUODEZHENGCEQUXIANG、HUOBIDIWEI、CHUXULVDIDENGYOUMIQIEGUANXI。HEKUANGZAIGUOJIFENGONGZHONG,JUEMAOYINICHABINGBUYIWEIZHEMEIGUOCHIKUI,MEIFANGDEJIAORANGZHESHIYOUXIE“DELEBIANYIHAIMAIGUAI”。
首先,目前的贸易格局是美国多年政策实施的结果。20世纪60年代后,美国在第三次科技革命的背景下,对其国内产业结构进行重大调整,将钢铁、纺织等传统产业逐步转移外放,在其国内主要致力于集成电路等资本和技术密集型产业的发展,同时严格执行技术出口管制措施,逐步利用其科技优势、生产优势等塑造出以服务业为主,低储蓄、高消费的经济格局。
QICI,MAOYINICHASHIMEIYUANZUOWEIQUANQIUBENWEIBI、MEIGUOZUOWEISHIJIEZUIHOUXIAOFEIZHEDEBIRANJIEGUO。“SHIYOUMEIYUAN”TIXIJIANLIZHIJIN,GUOJIHUOBITIXIDELIUDONGXINGJIBENSHANGYOUMEIYUANLAICHENGDAN,XINGCHENGLEMEIGUOGUONEIZONGXUQIUDAYUZONGGONGJI,MEIGUOYOUBUDUANLIYONGMEIYUANDEGUOJI“YINGTONGHUO”DIWEIMIBUQIGUONEISHENGCHANBUZUDEGEJU。JUEDEMAOYINICHA,YIWEIZHEMEIGUOCONGQITAGUOJIAJINKOUDALIANGZHIYOUJIALIANDECHANPINLAIWEICHIJIAODITONGZHANGLV,CUJINJINGJIZHUANXINGSHENGJIHEZENGZHANG,TIGAOLEDICENGMINZHONGDEFULI。QUNIANYIQINGQIJIANMEIGUOMAOYINICHAKUODA,DUIMEIGUOERYANBINGBUWANQUANSHIHUAISHI。
CIWAI,MEIGUOMAOYISHIHENGSHIQIGUONEI“XIAOFEI—CHUXU”JIEGOUSHIHENGDEBIAOXIAN。“YINCHIMAOLIANG”SHIMEIGUOMINZHONGRICHANGSHENGHUODECHANGTAI,JUMINCHUXULVDIXIADUANSHIJIANNEIWUFADEDAONIUZHUAN,MEIGUODEZHENGFUZHICHUYEBUKENENGDUANQINEIMINGXIANYASUO。CHUFEIMEIGUOTIGAOGUOMINCHUXULVHUOZHEJIANGDITOUZI,FOUZEMEIGUOSHIXIANJINGCHANGZHANGHUDEYINGYUSHIGE“BUKENENGWANCHENGDERENWU”。
JIAZHENGGUANSHUIDENGSHOUDUANWUFASUOXIAOMEIGUOJUEMAOYINICHA,QUEDUIMEIGUOJINGJIHEJIUYEDAILAILEZHENSHIDESHANGHAI。MEIZHONGMAOYIQUANGUOWEIYUANHUI、BIDESENGUOJIJINGJIYANJIUSUO、BULUJINSIXUEHUIDENGJIGOUJINQIGONGBUDEYANJIUXIANSHI,TELANGPUZHENGFUDUIZHONGGUOFAQIDEMAOYIZHANLINGMEIGUOSUNSHI20DUOWANGEJIUYEGANGWEI,HAIZAOCHENGMEIGUOMAOYINICHAKUODAHEWAIGUOZHIJIETOUZIJIANSHAO。
MEIGUOSHANGWUBUSHUJUXIANSHI,2020NIANMEIGUODUIHUASHANGPINMAOYINICHAJIANGZHI3108YIMEIYUAN,DIYU2018NIANDE4195YIMEIYUAN。ZHEIYIFANGMIANFANYINGCHUZHONGGUOCAIQUXINGDONGDUIXIANQIZAIZHONGMEIDIYIJIEDUANJINGMAOXIEYIZHONGSUOZUODECHENGNUO,LINGYIFANGMIANZAIDUIHUAMAOYINICHAXIAJIANGDEQINGKUANGXIAMEIGUOMAOYINICHAQUECHUANGXIAXINGAO,CHONGFENBIAOMINGJINGJIGUILVBUYIMOUXIERENDEYIZHIWEIZHUANYI。MIANDUITELANGPUZHENGFULIUXIADEZHEIBIHAIRENHAIJIDEYOUDU“YICHAN”,XINYIJIEMEIGUOZHENGFUGAIRUHECHULI,BUFANGSHIMUYIDAI。